Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS), joins Julia La Roche on episode 233 where he delivers a stark warning about the state of financial markets. Pento challenges Fed Chair Powell's recent victory lap on inflation, pointing out that prices have remained above the Fed's 2% target for nearly four years. He outlines his thesis for what he calls a "triumvirate of bubbles" in equities, real estate, and credit markets, explaining why these interconnected asset bubbles could lead to a market correction of at least 50%. Drawing on his 34 years of experience and proprietary 20-point liquidity model, Pento provides detailed evidence for his concerns while sharing insights on portfolio positioning, the impact of Trump 2.0, and potential solutions to America's mounting debt crisis.
Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia
Links:
https://pentoport.com/
https://twitter.com/michaelpento
0:00 Intro and welcome Michael
0:43 Powell's congressional testimony & inflation criticism
3:02 Fed's $5T post-COVID liquidity & reverse repo facility
6:43 Warning of market bubbles
7:28 Evidence of equity bubble (Market cap to GDP, price to sales)
10:27 Credit bubble & private credit markets
11:24 Liquidity draining from system
13:08 Trump 2.0 impact on markets
14:37 Analyzing market liquidity (20-point model)
18:21 Future recession & $6T deficit concerns
19:41 Potential silver lining: Market reset
21:10 Fed's rate cut dilemma
23:10 Treasury gold revaluation discussion
25:56 Solutions to US debt crisis
28:44 Current portfolio strategy
31:51 Critique of passive investment industry
35:00 Closing thoughts & contact information
