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Ocean current collapse
Science In Action
The Relationship Between Sea Surface Temperature and the Overturning Circulation
Climate models have trouble representing the stability of the overturning circulation, and from observations we know that SST is a very variable quantity. So I think there are a couple of sources of uncertainty in how we use these proxies to interpret or to predict what's going to happen in the future. The message is not that it could happen in 2025 but that together with several other studies it seems to me now more likely that the tipping point can already be reached within this century rather than only the next century.
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