Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez cover image

David Dredge On Defining Risk, Profiting from Extreme Moves, and Convexity

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

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Risk and Emerging Markets - I'm Not Making It Up

In the early 90s, Osy started a business called bankers trust in asia. He used convexity to build pools of positively convex risk that allowed you to engage in what i then defined as uniquely risky emerging markets. The market didn't determine the equilibrium price of risk and using historical volatility and correlation was not a good tool for predictive risk at all. After retiring from banking, he joined some old friends who ran a very successful long volatility strategy but they closed it down. And so we just help risk people by creating convex type structures for them to more efficiently manage their portfolios. You can think about this sort of as tailoring an investment portfolio or something like that.

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