Is History the Study of Surprises?

We use history as a guide to the future, ere so it's the study of surprises used as a map. And i think that's where a lot of this comes fromwe we have like such a desperate need and desire to predict the future. I don't know if the past really gives us much, much map of the future. It always makes sense during that time but in the moment, uncertainty is hard to wrap your head around. The biggest innovation when you get the most problem solving when you are not happy with how things turned out? That's what innovators gainfully employed by people who want to change the world for the better. We're all just trying to imagine how