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It's OK to Be Wrong

Stansberry Investor Hour

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The G M O Comfort Model - Investors Are Still Too Comfortable

The comfort model is based on the simple premise that conditions which make investors comfortable are high profits, stable economic growth and inflation of around two%. With greater comfort, investors are more likely to pay a higher multiple on the market. So when they are less comfortable, theyre there only willing to pay a lower p e for stocks. According to the model, according to g m os, in a reading of their model, the current condition is like 29 or 30 times cape ratio. That's still too complaisant. And i think it's true. I think people are too comfortable and complaisant," he says.

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