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Surveillance: Long Lasting Credit Tightening

Bloomberg Surveillance

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The Fed's Predictions of a Fed Hike

The probability of a Fed hike at the next meeting move, you know, very between 25 and 40%. If we get a debt ceiling resolution at a near term, I wouldn't be surprised to see that move higher. The Fed is doing this intentionally to try and slow economic growth and they're doing it, but it takes some time. Do you think we've seen sufficient evidence right now that they are sufficiently restrictive? Or is this a guess based on the cumulative tightening that they've already delivered?

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