The fed is calling for core PC to end the year of 2023 at 3.5%. We've never seen core PC decline 120 basis points over a 13 month timeframe without an actual recession. So that's set one to the fed is already implicitly implying that hey look we're going to have to do enough to get inflation down which ultimately may cause a recession. And number two they're being very explicit in my opinion about you know the unwillingness to ease next year. The market is currently pricing the fed to do it about face and pivot as quickly as July and ultimately another recut in December of this year. But I'm not so sure just given the dynamics in the labor market that they

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode