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Episode 4: Victor Haghani

Prometheus Podcast

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Understanding Expected Returns and Earnings Yield

This chapter explores the concept of expected returns in stock markets, focusing on the earnings yield as a more reliable predictor than the traditional PE ratio. The discussion highlights the significance of dividend payout ratios and the adjustment of cyclically adjusted earnings yield for more accurate forecasts. Additionally, it addresses the importance of real yields, particularly TIPS, in assessing long-term returns and correcting common financial misconceptions.

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