The Russian War on Ukraine

If Russia's military is shown to be toothless or at least incompetent, then there will probably be a number of rebellions throughout the Russian system. If we do have a catastrophic military defeat and we do have the top of the government fall, it is going to take years for any post-Putin government to fight its feet. In addition, any meaningful peace would have to require a degree of reparations and admittance of guilt.