4min chapter

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Wikipedia and the War on Science: Bret Speaks with Norman Fenton

DarkHorse Podcast

CHAPTER

Is It All About Causation?

In a thousand people, only about ten of them will have the disease. Of the other 990, ever, you're going to get this one % false positive rates. The probability that you've got the disease having tested positive is actually less than ten%. Nw o, people get wrong. And people tis, his een. Such a problem. Explain this throughout a people sayng, they we we know that the force positive rate for pc r testing is is less than point three percent. Yo, less than a third of a %. Can you turn round and say that a lot of people who symptomatic e test positive haven't got the disease? Is rubbish? But

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