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Is There a Back Test for Predictive Power?
Everything in markets is a back test, number one. For those that want to be active or tactical, take a more proactive stand on their portfolios. You can't really get a handle on on your potential future investment success if you don't know what the past looks like and how it works. I wish people would spend more time actually looking at historical prices. It's not just a question of back testing. It's a question f can you actually stick to whatever rules based approach that you've back tested? If you can't, just simply do a traditional asset alocation and close your eyes. Don't worry about the hearing about the money, if you don’t ned the