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2 – What is this “Sanity Waterline” you speak of?

The Bayesian Conspiracy

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The Importance of Calibration

I didn't want to say I have eaten a Chick-fil-A in the last year because they lost the gay war thing or the gay rights war and I'm not sure what their next thing is but I'm like well I you know well you guys want to keep donating to that whatever but you already lost so we're just thing. There was a survey of people who use less wrong and there was no difference in calibration ability between people who used less wrong and people who didn't, he says. "We are all bad at calibration at these calibration exercises although calibration can be helpful"

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