
Surveillance: Formula One Growth with Horner
Bloomberg Surveillance
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The Yield-Curve Inversion Is a Forward Indicator of Recession
The market is putting about a 30% chance that the Fed will go 50 basis points at the March meeting. The potential for short-term rates to go even higher is the reason why we've been talking all morning about this inversion, this yield-curve inversion. Some people are dismissing this and saying, you can't read too much into it. Other people say historically it has been one of the best indicators of recession to come.
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