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A Jobs Recession

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

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Navigating the Job Market and Interest Rates

This chapter examines the current job market's fragility as indicated by low vacancy rates and rising unemployment, while drawing historical parallels to 2018. The discussion also focuses on how recent labor data is influencing expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, amid fluctuating financial markets. Key indicators and psychological thresholds in bond yields are analyzed to forecast potential monetary policy changes and their implications for economic growth.

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