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SYSK Choice: How to Be Ready for Your Big Moment & Making Sense of Statistics

Something You Should Know

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The Best Forecasters Are Not the Ones Who Get It Right First Time

There does seem to be, I'm sure there is, this confirmation bias thing that people talk about. The best forecasters are the ones who are constantly asking themselves, what if I'm wrong? What have I not considered? Whose perspective have I missed? So they are working really hard to avoid confirmation bias. And I think it is something you have to work quite hard to avoid because our brains are lazy. But yeah, we need to watch out for it.

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