2min chapter

The Macro Trading Floor cover image

Is The Recession Already Over?

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

Is There One Factor Speaking for the US Dollar?

The rate of change has slowed down dramatically. The only thing that doesn't fit the bill is earnings, because how do you really define a recession? If the Chinese credit impulse is strong, it's usually better news for the Japanese yen and the euro relative to the dollar. But overall, the market was just so long dollars last year, so I don't think the whole trade is unwound.

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