How Do We Deal With Uncertainty?

problistic thinking is just alien to the way people think about the future. Human reasoning is more naturally narrative story telling than mathematical. In very complicated situations, the only way you can frame uncertainty and make choices is by creating narratives. If you are in court, you don't want to be told we work on the basis that we get 95 % of our judgments right. And i came to realize that's just not the way the law works. I remember when i first got involved in expert witness legal cases, i thought, why haven't lawyers and judges learnt to deal prolistically with the issues which they face?