Bill Fleckenstein, founder and president of Fleckenstein Capital, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 234 to discuss markets in 2025. He explains why he's waiting to see how new government initiatives play out before taking strong market positions, while maintaining significant precious metals exposure. Fleckenstein emphasizes that the passive bid remains "the elephant in the room" in markets, warns about government waste revelations, and explains why gold continues to show unexpected strength.

Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia

Links:

Book: https://www.amazon.com/Greenspans-Bubbles-Ignorance-Federal-Reserve/dp/0071591583

Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/fleckcap

Website: https://www.fleckensteincapital.com/

0:00 Introduction and welcome

0:47 Big picture macro view and bond market analysis

7:17 Discussion of Social Security numbers and potential fraud

8:10 Market assessment and passive investing dynamics

9:40 Gold market analysis and central bank buying

15:01 Analysis of gold revaluation proposals

16:40 Debt discussion and DOGE initiatives

21:44 Bond market dynamics and 30-40 year cycles

24:16 Fed policy outlook and potential rate cuts

26:07 Economic impact of government workforce changes

28:26 Silver market outlook

31:00 Passive bid impact on markets

34:03 Dollar outlook and Japanese yen analysis

36:02 Concerns about government agency revelations

39:05 Warning to younger investors about passive investing

41:00 Discussion of market structure vs traditional bubbles

44:42 Closing remarks and contact information