
Methinks it is a weasel
Think with Pinker
The Financial Times' Claim About the Bath Was Really Inter Ting
The error that sticks in my mind was not a prediction error. It took place about a year ago. A friend of mine was just not going out of his front door. He says, i just don't want to catch covid. I'm scared of catching covid. And he seemed to me disproportionately scared. This was at a time when there wasn't much covid around in the u k. So i reckoned thatmyf had about a one in two million chance of catching a fatal case of covid every day he walked out the front door. But then i said, wea only to find some comparison. And i said, well, it's about the same as going
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