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Predicting the Future ft. Stephen Grugett
The New Liberal Podcast
Political Prediction Markets Are Not Directionally Acurate
Political prediction markets have reached the level where they're directionally accurate. But I'm not sure that we've got the volume yet to really make a claim that they are better than directionally accurate, if that makes sense. It also is good to be cautious about the interpreting the result of any single election cycle. Each individual races like massively correlated with other races.
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