2min chapter

The Value Perspective cover image

The Value Perspective with James Montier

The Value Perspective

CHAPTER

The Overoptimism of Investors

I looked at kind of the degree of over optimism and over confidence that people had. I came across this beautiful study on two different groups of people weathermen and doctors and weathermen turns out I'll be really good at knowing they are bad. to take on, he says. He then moved on from follow-up forecasting into some other areas such as finance or business intelligence. The author has also written a book about his time working for an investment bank in New York called "The Banker's Nightmare"

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