4min chapter

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Existential Risk Pessimism and the Time of Perils | David Thorstad | EAGxOxford 22

EA Talks

CHAPTER

The Value of Reducing Risk in Your Own Century

On a simple model, the value of cutting risk by fraction F is just f times the value of a century of human existence. If you're pessimist about where we're starting, how much of an increase is it going to give you? And the answer is surprisingly little. Pessimism is making it harder to get a high value for reducing existential risks.

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