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3min chapter
192: “Predicting profitability using machine learning” – Ernie Chan
Better System Trader
The Conditional Probability of the Corn Market
A conditional probability would look at the corn market. Is it still going to be such a harm market? And isn if that's the case, an most likely your conditional propability or profit will be high for this short forsut wer. Machine learning can take into account hundreds of imputs you care to and enter. It can also be with popablistic models that give you an actual number,. not just qualitatively, but quantitatively, whether you should trade.
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