A country that's already had a riot is much more likely to have one in the future. The economist built a statistical model to assess the relationship between food and fuel price in an unrest. And we found that you can expect, in a lot of countries, the doubling of unrest over the next year.
In a global period of belt-tightening, popular anger will spill over. Our correspondent visits places where powderkegs seem closest to being lit; our predictive model suggests where might be next. China’s spies have a deserved reputation for hacking and harassing—but fall surprisingly short on other spooky skills. And why America is suffering a shortfall of lifeguards.
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