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Bull Market Investing

Notes on the Week Ahead

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The Rise of Consumer Confidence in the US Stock Market

Inflation is expected to fall to the Fed's 2% target by next summer. The US economy will avoid entering recession in 2023 and might avoid it in 2024 also. Lower inflation suggests that the Fed will cut rates in 2024. Consumer sentiment has been an excellent predictor of above average stock market returns as we show on page 27 of the Guide to the Markets.

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