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Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Skin in the Game

EconTalk

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Is the Probability of an Earthquake to Morrow Zero?

If there is an earthquake, what really matters is whether it's a little murmur or whether it's giant. So you can have the very small probabili os a large event. Now now er they are competolties. People didn't understand it when the created prodiction markets. I was then opposed to the idea of prodiction markets and i went to fi nce this paper so we can ca have grounds to discuss them.

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