3min chapter

The Macro Trading Floor cover image

Are Markets Really Priced For A Recession? | John Normand

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

Is There a Recession Pricing in Credit Markets?

The metrics of risk premium across asset classes you refer to that are Historically not aligned with a recession pricing. Where it's not priced is in spread markets with exception of mortgage markets in the US and maybe the high-grade markets in UK credit. We just haven't had the explosion of corporate debt relative to the size of the corporate sectors from corporate debt to GDP Didn't move up going into this downturn in the economy the way has happened historically.

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