The Importance of Predicting Conflict

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History shows that governments are surprisingly poor at predicting big military moves. China is particularly useful if you're looking at the movement of markets, says Rosie Bloor. If China was considering waging war, it would need to make sure it had enough three broad categories of goods: energy, food and minerals.

Military types need not wait until mass movements of troops to know a conflict is coming. We examine a raft of subtle and not-so-subtle market moves that would precede a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. France’s quiet volte face on the extent of NATO and the European Union will reshape European security (12:04). And how scrapyards are becoming efficient, lucrative disassembly lines (19:41).

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