Adam Butler - The "Ultimate Gift" (S1E1)
Flirting with Models
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The Long Now Foundation - What Is It About?
CNN's John Sutter was inspired by Philip Tetlock to change his way of thinking about the world. He found that experts are no better at forecasting than you would expect from random guesses. Experts were less well calibrated in their forecasts when making forecasts in their own field of expertise, he said.
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