I was very much hoping that post the Chinese Olympics in January we'd see China reopening, right? And instead we got the Shanghai lockdown, which came very hard. So you had the Chinese lockdown, which probably took about a million and a half barrels out of global oil demand. At the same time, the US turned around and said, look, we're going to release strategic petroleum reserves. We're going to released roughly 800,000 barrels per day. So increased supply, lower demand. But will we still have these three factors in three months time? Well, we definitely won't have any more strategic petroleum reserves releases because we can't release it forever, right? I don't
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:
02:52 - Louis’s current assessment of the global economy and financial markets.
06:15 - Why Louis thinks the current price of the S&P has not fully priced in the risks of a recession.
07:52 - Is now the time to buy the dip or remain more defensive?
07:52 - How to approach investing in a bear market, and what investments Louis sees as the most promising sectors.
10:39 - Why he believes the energy sector is in a new structural bull market.
17:54 - Louis’s outlook on Chinese equities including Alibaba, and emerging markets.
26:08 - How to construct a well built portfolio using Louis’s 6 building blocks framework, and examples of investments that fall into each.
36:26 - Louis’s 4 quadrant framework used to link different macro environments to an appropriate investing strategy.
40:49 - Why gold hasn’t performed as expected this year in USD terms, and Louis outlook going forward.
47:48 - Why Louis thinks moving to a deflationary bust is not likely.
52:40 - The risk of China de-dollarization, what this means and what implications this would have for global markets.
And much, much more!
*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.
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