The chances of a maximalist military solution by either side is looking quite unlikely. We're very far off, i would say, from a lasting political negotiated settlement. There are many trip wires yet which may cause this progress to founder. Unless aid moves down that road very quickly in large quantities, it seems inevitable that war will return.
A ceasefire agreed weeks ago should have mitigated the suffering of starving Ethiopians caught up in war; we ask why so little aid has got through. Rebuilding Ukraine’s infrastructure and economy will require staggering sums—and a vast, international plan of action. And South Africa’s lockdown-era alcohol bans had a curious knock-on effect: crippling shortages of a beloved yeasty goo.
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