Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

Measuring everything that matters (with Doug Hubbard)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

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The Importance of Calibration in Probabilistic Forecasting

This chapter explores the importance of calibration training in enhancing probabilistic predictions. It reveals how individuals often overestimate their forecasting abilities, and how training can help improve their understanding of uncertainty and decision-making skills.

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