What Do You Think Is the Most Probabilistic Scenario for Climate Change?

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"It's important to keep them apart conceptually in our mind," he says. "Most humans alive on the planet to day use that as an excuse to not worryo much about it." If i had to guess, we're looking at a level of warming this century somewhere between two and two and a half degrees Celsius. We are making remarkably fast progress driving down the price of renewable energy,. But we're not nearly doing enough or moving fast enough to draw down our use of fossil fuel.

David Wallace-Wells is one of the foremost journalists covering climate change. A writer at The New York Times and a columnist at The New York Times Magazine, Wallace-Wells is the author of the best-selling book The Uninhabitable Earth: Life After Warming. His New York Magazine article of the same name was the most read in the magazine’s history.

In this week’s conversation, Yascha Mounk and David Wallace-Wells discuss why the worst scenarios for the future of climate outcomes have become less likely over the course of the last years; how much damage climate change is nevertheless likely to wreak; and what political, economic, and technological solutions might help humanity deal with this urgent challenge.

This transcript has been condensed and lightly edited for clarity.

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