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Risk-Driven Development and Decentralization (with Satvik Beri)
Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
The Importance of Noise in Stock Market Investing
This is one of the big problems with stock market investing as well, which is that people think, oh, I made three trades this year and they all went up. And not only that, but there can be correlation between data points, right? So for example, in your case, you're talking about, you know, was that a good talk? But imagine you're trying to figure out like how good a public speaker you are. Are you more broadly? Well, if all you have is data from one talk you gave, you can't really separate it out. It's actually really hard to tell the difference between a strategy that's right, 51% of the time and 49
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