Crypto Rundown: Technical Analysis on the Bitcoin Dip and JP Morgan Launches Stablecoin
CRYPTO 101
Market Volatility and Fear & Greed Setup
Tevo asks about recent volatility; Brendan and Tevo explain Fear & Greed index signals and historical bottoming behavior.
In this episode of the Crypto Rundown Brendan and Tevo break down Bitcoin’s sharp move below 100K and a Fear & Greed Index reading near historic panic levels, arguing that, historically, these zones have been great long-term entry points even if more short-term downside is possible. You walk through Bitcoin and Ethereum technicals, highlighting broken support, 200-day moving averages, and RSI setups while stressing caution on leverage but continued dollar-cost averaging for long-term bags. On the fundamental side, you cover JP Morgan’s JPM Coin on Base, Tom Lee’s aggressive Ethereum target, record-breaking Solana and XRP ETF launches, and a big outflow day from Bitcoin ETFs that doesn’t match the overwhelmingly bullish institutional trend. You wrap with a discussion of underperforming fund managers, potential “stimmy” and Trump baby accounts, and a reminder that despite the chop and pain, crypto isn’t going anywhere—and everyone is still secretly waiting for altcoin season.
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Chapters
00:00 — Intro, show is back, and framing the episode around big downside volatility and Bitcoin breaking below 100K.
01:20 — Fear & Greed Index deep dive, comparisons to past panic moments (tariffs crash, COVID) and what that’s meant historically.
04:40 — Macro backdrop recap: tariffs, recession fears, and why this drawdown feels different from February even with similar fear readings.
07:10 — Bitcoin technical analysis: 200-day moving average breaks, failed breakouts, support/resistance zones, and what levels to watch next.
11:50 — Ethereum technicals: similar breakdown structure, potential targets in the 2.7–2.8K zone, and why Brendan is cautious short term but accumulating long term.
15:10 — How Brendan is using RSI and higher lows in oversold territory to time entries, plus his micro bull run TA course + live sessions.
18:05 — JP Morgan’s JPM Coin launches on Base; Jamie Dimon’s “capitulation” and what it signals about big-bank adoption of crypto rails.
20:20 — Tom Lee’s ultra-bullish Ethereum call (9–12K by January), how that ties into stablecoins/tokenization, and your reaction to how realistic that is.
23:40 — Solana ETFs (like BSO L) smashing 2025 volume records, then XRP’s XRPC ETF topping even that with the biggest day-one volume of the year.
27:10 — Bitcoin ETFs see their second-largest day of outflows ever; discussion of “why the panic?” given how strong the fundamentals still look.
30:10 — Underperforming fund managers, year-end “window dressing,” and how that might create messy price action into Q4 versus a long-term retail mindset.
34:00 — Bitwise chart on who really owns Bitcoin, speculation on future government/bank buying, “stimmy”/tariff check chatter, Trump baby accounts, and closing altcoin-season meme + outro.
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