The Absurdity Oristic

The future is usually absurd. In quotes lincoln post, it is unstable in its surface rules over 50 year intervals. This doesn't mean that anything can happen. Reality is not up for grabs. It works by rules even more precise than the ones we believe in instinctively. But how do you pondering a question on your own, know when to stop because a line of argument strikes you as absurd? I don't have a great answer here, but here are some parts of a mediocre answer. Do the social epistemology thing, regardless of whether or not it's a coward's way out.