6min chapter

Odd Lots cover image

Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova on the Art of Election Betting

Odd Lots

CHAPTER

Forecasting the Future: Prediction Markets in Politics

This chapter explores the role of prediction markets in forecasting electoral outcomes, with a particular focus on the treasury market. It discusses how the dynamics of political betting, including the impact of professional bettors and evolving platforms, are transforming the reliability of these forecasting tools.

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