Notes on the Week Ahead cover image

The Soft Landing Scenario

Notes on the Week Ahead

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The Strength of the Labour Market After the Pandemic

On jobs, data at this week should show a steadily normalizing labour market. Job openings peaked in March of last year, 4.4 million higher than the highest number ever recorded before the pandemic. We expect unemployment to remain in a range of 3-4% for as long as economic expansion continues. Crucially, this is a very tight labour market that has not led to an explosion in wages.

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