
#32: Christopher Cole On Appreciating Risk
Superinvestors and the Art of Worldly Wisdom
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The Recency Bias in Financial History
The last 40 years have been one of the most unprecedented periods of asset price appreciation. The average US pension system assumes a 7.25% return on plain assets. If we assume that their returns will be just 5% rather than 7.25%, then the unfunded liability jumps to a level that is multiple times the bank bailout of 2008.
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