Forecast Surprises, Successes and Slip-Ups
Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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The Conference Board Survey: The Leading Economic Indicators
The leading indicators as measured by the conference board have been declining for well over a year now. Has that ever happened where the recession has followed with that? So, oh, okay. But I'll double check. There might be some cases where, yeah, I've been looking at the magnitude. We've ever had a case where we fought the leading economic indicators have fallen so much and not had a recession within a six, 12 month period.
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