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Here Is Why Markets Are Rallying

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

The Effect of Realized Volatility on Human Behavior

I think the conditions are better now than they were a month ago to take the view that risk assets will not perform from here. I still have my eyes glued on, say, the first couple of weeks of May. Should we get that debt ceiling deal in place? Liquidity will be withdrawn on the back of it. The dollar could start re-strengthening in such a scenario in my view. Then I would be surprised to see risk assets rallying from there over summer.

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