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Why Is the Recession Taking So Long to Show Up? | Bob Elliott

Hidden Forces

CHAPTER

The Effect of the Fed's Fiscal Contraction on Prices and Inflation

The Fed is trying to slow down the economy by raising interest rates and quantitative tightening. The combination of debt ceiling negotiations with some of the COVID era programs starting to roll off created a self-reinforcing cycle that eventually brought down inflation. It was the fiscal lever, which ultimately was much more effective and will be much more effective than the monetary lever ever was.

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