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Julian Brigden: Markets Are Not Priced For A Recession
Market Depth
Is It Taken 16 Months to Bring Down Inflation?
There have been 11 instances where the US entered a recession with inflation way above the Fed target. It took on average 16 months of a recession to bring down inflation back to 2%. And we haven't started the recession yet because as you just said, the labor market is very strong,. But the labor market remains status quo basis on a spot basis is pretty strong. We are not in a recession yet. If we enter one tomorrow, history would say it takes at least 16 months until you have done enough to stop.
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