3min chapter

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#257 – Brian Keating: Cosmology, Astrophysics, Aliens & Losing the Nobel Prize

Lex Fridman Podcast

CHAPTER

Aren't We Applying Bayesian Rationality With Confidence Intervals?

There's 10 different theories of everything or cosmological models. They make predictions, they have advantages and disadvantages. And I'm just asking the question, why aren't we applying Bayesian reasoning with confidence intervals? Why don't we have updates? Every time an experiment comes out, we can update our credulity in that experiment or that theory rather based on the results of the experiment. That's not my job. You're supposed to tell me if strength theory is correct, what should it predict if it's true?

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