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A New Type of Entrepreneurship Is on the Rise
The Transformer model brought a kind of generality. I think if you go back to the early era of AI, there were probably things that the large language models that we have today are some kind of AGI. There's not going to be any point of time where we're going to say, ha, this is AGI.
We're hiring across the board at Turpentine and for Erik's personal team on other projects he's incubating. He's hiring a Chief of Staff, EA, Head of Special Projects, Investment Associate, and more. For a list of JDs, check out: eriktorenberg.com.
(0:00) Preview of the debate
(2:23) Sponsor
(3:10) Flo’s take on the AI moment and AGI
(5:45) Amjad’s take on the AI moment
(8:03) Antonio's skepticism about transhumanism
(9:10) Human tendencies color the debate about agency
(11:25) The inflection point is a jump in generality
(13:14) AI's effect on coding
(16:57) Weakness in current models
(19:18) Bounties and the future of work
(21:48) Antonio's skepticism around bounties
(25:00) Who will capture value, incumbents or startups?
(27:26) "All knowledge work will be automated in 20 years"
(30:10) Who will be the biggest beneficiaries of this shift?
(31:50) What AI companies should VCs invest in?
(32:26) Sponsor
SPONSORS: SHOPIFY | OMNEKY
Shopify is the global commerce platform that helps you sell at every stage of your business. Shopify powers 10% of ALL eCommerce in the US. And Shopify's the global force behind Allbirds, Rothy's, and Brooklinen, and 1,000,000s of other entrepreneurs across 175 countries.From their all-in-one e-commerce platform, to their in-person POS system – wherever and whatever you're selling, Shopify's got you covered. With free Shopify Magic, sell more with less effort by whipping up captivating content that converts – from blog posts to product descriptions using AI. Sign up for $1/month trial period: https://shopify.com/cognitive
Thank you Omneky for sponsoring The Cognitive Revolution. Omneky is an omnichannel creative generation platform that lets you launch hundreds of thousands of ad iterations that actually work, customized across all platforms, with a click of a button. Omneky combines generative AI and real-time advertising data, to generate personalized experiences at scale.
Twitter:
@CogRev_Podcast
@amasad (Amjad)
@antoniogm (Antonio)
@altimor (Flo)
@dwr (Dan)
@eriktorenberg (Erik)
@labenz (Nathan)
Subscribe to our Substack: https://cognitiverevolution.substack.com/
Websites:
replit.com
teamflowhq.com
omneky.com
Show Notes & references:
Eliezer Yudkowsky: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FKNtgZrGYwgsz3nHT/bankless-podcast-159-we-re-all-gonna-die-with-eliezer
Paul Christiano: https://paulfchristiano.com/
AI Feedback: https://www.anthropic.com/constitutional.pdf
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This show is produced by Turpentine: a network of podcasts, newsletters, and more, covering technology, business, and culture — all from the perspective of industry insiders and experts. We’re launching new shows every week, and we’re looking for industry-leading sponsors — if you think that might be you and your company, email us at erik@turpentine.co.
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Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode