3min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Trust the Process, Man?

If you remove like all those geo-appealing polls from the average, I think you would have ended up with like an average it was too Democratic again. The process kind of believes in the market for polling being efficient. And so just inherently, it's just inherently very weird that like, the 538 is such a popular product because most people don't know what calibration means or what the goal really is per se.

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