Annie Duke: How do Leaders Make Decisions Based on Input from Their Teams
FranklinCovey On Leadership
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Navigating the Forecasting Journey
This chapter explores the transition of a new PhD into the role of a recognized expert, focusing on enhancing forecasting skills through a better understanding of base rates and group dynamics. It emphasizes the importance of historical data in decision-making, using examples like weather forecasting to illustrate how context affects predictions and the significance of regression to the mean in uncertain environments.
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