4min chapter

The Compound and Friends cover image

That Wasn't the Bottom

The Compound and Friends

CHAPTER

How to Know When a Recession Begins

The only time the pivot was a buy signal was one. There wasn't a recession coming correct Which was in 1995. The Fed is about to ease because they don't want that just the jolt survey And the revisions to the unemployment claims and some of the ism data have interest rates going down. So how do you know when the recession begins? When the fed pivot, you know and the in the yield curves Turn positive That's when you're about to end a recession also when the we're gonna get the unemployment rate tomorrow. This is the week the baton was officially handed to the counter-terrorism crowd.

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