Sophisticated investors make these late stage valuations at very high multiples. They do have some downside protections, but they're rarely in the high priced rounds. In many of these gogo companies, and yono, brad and sax can confirm, i see it, all those rights get stripped away. It's like com in at this crazy price. Theoo to shaning oeo governens, get out. Get o t get our logo on our fund raising deck for the next round. And so this is the price of the capital.
0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner is filling in for Friedberg
1:34 Understanding public SaaS and Internet multiples, Instacart's cuts its valuation by 40%, understanding reality of overvalued late-stage companies
21:52 Capital allocators at fault, how crossover funds are reacting, late-stage price discovery, investor and founder behavioral psychology
40:37 Sacks' burn multiple, managing growth spend, new VC qualifications, lessons from the COVID bubble
53:58 Russia/Ukraine: US potential non-ceasefire strategy, Zelenskyy's revelations in CNN interview, rhetoric getting more aggressive
1:08:58 How will Putin withdraw without redacting the sanctions? What is the offramp? Zelenskyy's posture on global war
1:24:18 Understanding China's recently announced tax cuts, All-In Summit talk
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Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burnmultiple-51a7e43cb200
https://substack.com/profile/11803623-jamin-ball
https://twitter.com/nfergus/status/1506243619384037378
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/niall-ferguson-putin-and-biden-misunderstand-history-in-ukraine-war
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB10014.html
https://twitter.com/samramani2/status/1507378113893871617
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-first-phase-ukraine-operation-mostly-complete-focus-now-donbass-2022-03-25/
https://www.wptv.com/news/national/russia-ukraine-conflict/zelenskyy-warns-of-world-war-iii-if-russia-ukraine-peace-talks-fail
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/03/20/zelensky_ukraine_failed_putin_talks_would_mean_a_third_world_war.html
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/03/20/zelenskyy-ukraine-zakaria-interview-00018716
https://fortune.com/2022/03/25/russia-g20-summit-putin-biden-indonesia-bali-china-ukraine/
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html
https://fortune.com/2022/03/24/putin-russia-natural-gas-europe-imports-pay-in-rubles-sanctions/
https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-instead-of-dollars-for-chinese-oil-sales-11647351541
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/24/biden-says-us-would-respond-to-russia-if-putin-uses-chemical-or-biological-weapons.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2014/03/09/blinken-u-s-would-not-recognize-crimea-secession/
https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-sticks-with-longstanding-u-s-policy-on-use-of-nuclear-weapons-amid-pressure-from-allies-11648176849
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-21/china-embraces-supply-side-economics-with-tax-cuts