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Forecasting the Moves of The Fed with Barry Habib (WiM282)
The "What is Money?" Show
Money Supply
In 2020 and 2021, close to these numbers, I'm going by member here. I believe our money supply increased like 22% and 13%. So now there is a natural flow where money supply actually goes up on a year over year basis. We saw the money supply shrink by 2%, 1.8% in 2022, but it was all in the fourth quarter. It all came out in January of 2023 alone, we saw this drop 7%. At this pace of quantitative tightening, we will get back to trends sometime middle of this year,. so we will start to see deflationary forces recession. This is a very important thing to look at is this ODL, the money supply.
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